Tim Handel vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve Performance: Handel has a slight edge in second serve points, winning 41.88% compared to Bailly's 41.85%. Does this marginal difference favor Handel? It slightly does, but is not decisive by itself.
• Return Game Stats: Bailly excels in return games, with 44.43% of second serve returns won against Handel's 42.92%. Their first serve return percentages are 28.71% and 26.91% respectively for Bailly and Handel, giving Bailly a clearer edge.
• Pressure Handling: Under pressure, Handel has a higher breakpoint save rate at 53.04%, in contrast to Bailly's 47.03%. Could this be crucial during key moments? Indeed, it may help Handel maintain composure during critical junctures.
• Overall Performance: Over the past year, Bailly shows a higher match win percentage at 73.26% compared to Handel's 51.61%, indicating Bailly's stronger overall consistency.
• Surface Strength: Handel is stronger on clay with 62% wins, whereas Bailly excels on hard courts with 69%. Considering surfaces, who has the advantage? If played on clay, Handel might be more comfortable.
• Player Experience: Handel and Bailly both compete predominantly in Futures/ITF tournaments, but Bailly achieves a higher win rate of 73.97% versus Handel's 54.39%.
• Head-to-Head History: Handel has beaten Bailly in their only encounter, winning in straight sets on clay. Could this prior victory influence the outcome? It provides Handel with some psychological edge.
• Deciding Set Record: If the match extends to a deciding set, Bailly has a higher success rate, winning 67% compared to Handel's 57% over the last year.
• Break Point Conversion: Both show similar efficiency in converting break points, with Handel converting 38.61% and Bailly 38.4% of opportunities.
• Opponent Quality: Handel has faced slightly tougher opponents on average, with a ranking difference suggesting exposure to higher-level competition.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing their recent performance stats, Bailly demonstrates strong abilities in both return games and overall match wins. These strengths are crucial for overcoming competitive matches.

Handel, however, shows resilience under pressure through a higher rate of breakpoint saves and a previous victory over Bailly on clay, granting him some psychological merit.

While Handel fares better on clay surfaces and has won their past encounter, Bailly's consistent performance, higher success in return games, and stronger records in deciding sets slightly tilt the scales in his favor.

Based on the collected data and trends, Bailly appears more likely to claim victory in their upcoming match.